The 2022 Blue Trickle

Since November 8, 2022 the media has been focusing on the lack of a “red wave.” Late night audiences are being played endless Republican predictions prior to the mid-term election that the “red wave” was really going to be a “red tsunami.”

As Jesse Watters says at 1:04 in the video above, “Don’t listen to the lies that they are spewing that this could take days or days… you know… to know who won, this is total BS. A wave like this we should know that night…”

It did take days to know that the “red wave” did not happen and that Democrats would retain the majority in the Senate, we still don’t know who controls the House, but it is looking like it will be the Republicans.

Now, in the aftermath, what the media is talking about is how unprecedented this is, that the party in power did not loose a lot of seats in Congress during the mid-term. The last time it happened was in 2002, but, often, that is cited as an anomaly due to 9/11. But what Democratic voters are supposed to be focusing on is that 2022 could have been a lot worse, when in reality it should have been a lot better.

Let’s look at the Senate race in Georgia where Raphael Warnock is currently leading with 49.4% of the vote (1,943,253 votes) to Herschel Walker’s 48.5% of the vote (1,906,945 votes). That is a difference .9% or just 36,608 votes. Raphael Warnock is the incumbent Senator facing a political novice facing multiple scandals and accusations of widespread lies. This race should not have been close.

Or Arizon’s Senate race where incumbent Mark Kelly narrowly defeated Blake Masters 51.4% of the vote to 46.5% of the vote. A difference of only 124,613 votes. But there was a 3rd candidate in the race, a libertarian, who surely drained some Republican voters. Assuming all of the voters that voted for the Libertarian candidate were Republican that means that Masters could have received an additional 53,226 votes if that 3rd party candidate did not run, making the race even closer.

Yet Kelly, the incumbent Senator, a former Navy pilot and astronaut, was up against Master’s a political novice. This race also should not have been close.

To look at how these races should have gone, look at Oregon’s 3rd district. According to Politico (https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/house/) seen below, Blumenauer won 70.2% of the vote compared to Harbour’s 26.2% of the vote. This is usually how incumbent races go.

What Democratic voters should be concerned about is not a lack of a red wave in 2022, but the anemic blue trickle that had so many Democratic candidates narrowly defeating their opponents.

Let’s remember that on January 6th 2021 the United States Capitol was attacked by thousands of Trump supporters who were trying to stop the certification of the 2020 election. In the 2022 midterm elections there were a number of Trump supporting, election denying candidates running for office. This should have motivated Democratic voters to vote.

Then in June 2022 the Supreme Court overturned Roe v Wade and signaled that it was ready to reverse other Supreme Court precedents like marriage equality and other 14th Amendment guarantees. In the run up to the mid-terms President Biden signaled that if the Democrats retained control of Congress and widened their margin in the Senate, that he would codify a woman’s right to make reproductive decisions. This should have caused Democratic voters to turn out in unprecedented numbers.

And yet many races were narrow victories for the Democratic Party.

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